Since the start of the year, the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond Index has lost nearly 9% of its value, which may surprise you if you don’t realize that bonds can lose money. Today I would like to explain how bonds can lose value when interest rates rise.
As a reminder, bonds are simply loans from a lender to a borrower. Unlike your mortgage where you are the borrower, owning bonds means that you are usually the lender to businesses or government entities that will eventually repay you the original loan amount plus interest. Much like a mortgage, there is an interest rate charged to the borrower as well as a specific term over which payments will be made. A key difference is usually that the principal amount is not repaid until the end of the loan rather than along the way. Until maturity, you simply receive interest payments.
As interest rates fluctuate, the value of the bond you own changes inversely to interest rates, as there is an active market of buyers and sellers who are constantly reassessing the value of your bonds. depending on various factors. The most relevant factor for today’s article is the current interest rate versus the original interest rate on your bond.
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A simple example is the best way to understand this relationship. Imagine that you own a bond paying one percent interest that you bought two years ago for $100. Fast forward to today and new bonds maturing at the same time as your original bond are paying 2.5% interest and selling for $100 each. If you wanted to sell your 1% bond, you would need to sell it for less than $100 to make it attractive to potential buyers. You might be able to sell it for $97 to make it competitive with a new bond. The drop in price represents interest rate risk and would be an actual loss if you sold the bond.
This interest rate risk applies not only to individual bonds, but also to bond mutual funds made up of a basket of individual bonds. Bond funds have a higher turnover of their underlying bonds, so the proceeds from maturing bonds can be reinvested in new bonds at higher rates, helping to offset some of the price declines.
In addition to understanding how rising interest rates affect the value of your bonds, which increases the likelihood of sticking with your investment strategy, there are a few other strategies you can consider such as holding bonds at shorter term that are less sensitive to interest rates. As rates rise, bank CDs or fixed annuities may also become more attractive. My colleague, Mike Haubrich, wrote in April about Series I Savings Bonds, which are also worth considering. Nobody likes to lose money on their investments, but understanding why it happens can lessen the psychological impact.
Popular yet (relatively) affordable cars
Popular cars that are still (relatively) affordable
Photo credit: Andrew Zaikovskyi / Shutterstock
Inflation has hit many sectors of the economy hard over the past year, but few categories can compare to the automotive industry.
Economic experts discuss the extent to which the current period of inflation stems from increased consumer demand and the extent to which it has been caused by supply constraints. In the vehicle market, both forces are clearly at play. Low interest rates, federal stimulus payments and better-than-expected economic conditions throughout the pandemic have given households more cash to spend big purchases like cars. But the unpredictable spread of COVID-19 has made it harder for automakers to meet demand. Due to material supply difficulties and retaining factory staff amid the pandemic, auto parts makers and auto factories themselves have often been forced to close or operate at reduced capacity. Following these problems, delivery of new vehicles is down 59% from this period in 2021.
The scarcity of new vehicles has driven up the prices of current models. But it also had a major effect on prices in the used vehicle market. With fewer new cars available, consumers are competing for used models, causing used car prices to rise even faster.
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Used car prices rose at the fastest pace on record in the first quarter of this year

Year-over-year increases in used car prices have exceeded 30% for each of the past four quarters, reaching an all-time quarterly high of 39% in the first quarter of 2022. Annual market inflation used vehicles had not exceeded 10% since 2010, when the recovery from the last recession began, and we should look to Great inflation period of the 1970s to see increases comparable to today’s market.
Used minivans have seen the biggest price increase in recent months

And some types of used vehicles are experiencing inflation rates even higher than the overall average. Used SUVs, trucks and crossovers – where automakers have produced more inventory in recent years in response to changing consumer tastes – all saw median price increases of less than 40% for the 2020 model year. Minivans and sedans, on the other hand, saw the biggest price increases over the past months, at 47.5% and 45%, respectively. And with gas price having hit record highs in recent months, competition in these relatively fuel-efficient categories may continue to keep prices high for the foreseeable future.
Today’s market is tough for any buyer looking for a used vehicle, but some newer makes and models have seen slower price increases than others. To determine the most popular cars that are the most affordable, researchers from Copilot calculated the difference between the current market price and the expected initial price for 100 of the most popular 2020 model year used vehicles on the market.
Here are 10 popular used cars that have risen in price the least.
10. Jeep Wrangler Unlimited

Photo credit: Cheri Alguire/Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +29.0%
- Current price premium ($): +$10,126
- Current price: $45,052
- Original Price Prediction: $34,926
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9. Subaru Outback

Photo Credit: Everyone Photo Studio / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +28.9%
- Current price premium ($): +$7,959
- Current price: $35,480
- Original Price Prediction: $27,521
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8. Toyota Tundra

Photo credit: Rico Patagonia / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +28.1%
- Current price premium ($): +$10,652
- Current price: $48,524
- Original Price Prediction: $37,872
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7.Lexus RX

Photo credit: BoJack / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +27.4%
- Current price premium ($): +$10,773
- Current price: $50,144
- Original Price Prediction: $39,371
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6. Lexus NX

Photo credit: Iurii Vlasenko / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +26.2%
- Current price premium ($): +$8,380
- Current price: $40,346
- Original Price Prediction: $31,966
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5. BMW 5 Series

Photo credit: RoClickMag / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +26.1%
- Current price premium ($): +$10,788
- Current price: $52,165
- Original Price Prediction: $41,377
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4.Toyota 4Runner

Photo credit: lzf / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +25.3%
- Current price premium ($): +$8,864
- Current price: $43,932
- Original Price Prediction: $35,068
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3. Honda Driver

Photo credit: Bandersnatch/Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +24.7%
- Current price premium ($): +$7,860
- Current price: $39,653
- Original Price Prediction: $31,793
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2.Subaru Crosstrek

Photo credit: Jfern Visions / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +24.3%
- Current price premium ($): +$5,994
- Current price: $30,683
- Original Price Prediction: $24,689
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1.Acura MDX

Photo credit: Andrew Zaikovskyi / Shutterstock
- Current price premium (%): +22.8%
- Current price premium ($): +$8,315
- Current price: $44,777
- Original Price Prediction: $36,462
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Justus Morgan is president and fee-based financial planner at Financial Service Group Inc., an investment advisory firm registered at 4812 Northwestern Ave., online at ToYourWealth.com.